Russians predict asteroid to strike in 2036...

Apophis-Earth-collision-2036In 2004, the Russians told the world that there was a chance that an asteroid two football fields wide named Apophis would strike the Earth at some point in the year 2029.

This announcement led to the rest of the world noted astronomers laughing their asses off at the insanity of the Russian prediction.

And indeed, it turned out that those initial scoffs at the Doomsday prediction may have been warranted as even the Russians are now claiming there will be no asteroid strike in 2029...

New calculations are showing it to be 2036...

April13, 2036 to be exact.

“Technically, they’re correct, there is a chance in 2036 [that Apophis will hit Earth]," said Donald Yeomans, head of NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program Office.

Very true... the 1 in 250,000 chance of a 900 foot across asteroid (Apophis) is going to strike the Earth in April of 2036 is- while slim- indeed a very real  chance

APEX-Earth_1

“The situation is that in 2029, April 13, [Apophis] flies very close to the Earth, within five Earth radii, so that will be quite an event, but we’ve already ruled out the possibility of it hitting at that time,” Yeomans told Life’s Little Mysteries, a sister website to Space.com.

 “On the other hand, if it goes through what we call a keyhole during that close Earth approach … then it will indeed be perturbed just right so that it will come back and smack Earth on April 13, 2036,” Yeomans said.

091230-aphophis-2004-02

The chances of the asteroid going through the keyhole, which is tiny compared to the asteroid, are “minuscule,” Yeomans added.

The more likely scenario, of course, is that Apophis will make its passes late in 2012/early 2013 and again in 2029 and it's path will be more closely studied by scientists at NASA and the other various global space agencies.  These agencies will then calculate projected future paths for Apophis and at that time- should there be a chance that the projections show the asteroid coming into contact with the orbit of the Earth- plans will be drawn up for the best way to deal with the global threat from coming to fruition.

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